Can Americans trust Tuesday’s election?

Nicholas Goldberg, Tribune News Service

When I was a boy I used to go vote with my mother on Election Day. At a nearby public school, we would enter a booth, draw a heavy curtain and I’d flick a number of little levers at her direction to mark our choices. Then I’d pull the handle to make it official — and, voila, we had done our democratic duty.

Afterward, I felt confident (and so did she) that even if our preferred candidates lost, the election would be honest and accurate and that the candidates who received the most votes would be declared the winners.

I no longer have that kind of unshakeable faith in the system.

As Election Day approaches, I find myself wondering, like so many other Americans, whether the process we’ve devised over two-and-a-half centuries is up to the task. Will the Electoral College once again stand in the way of the popular vote? Will a rigged redistricting process predetermine the outcome? Will the broken campaign finance system that hands access and influence to billionaires and corporations allow ordinary voices to be heard?

And, more immediately: Will voters cheat? Will armed militia members show up at polling places to intimidate voters? Will all the ballots be counted? Is the Postal Service too inept — or too politicized — to handle this year’s heavy reliance on mail-in voting?

Apparently, my fears are shared. According to Gallup earlier in October, fewer than 1 in 5 Americans are “very confident” that votes in the upcoming election will be accurately cast and counted. In an NBC News/Survey Monkey poll, 56% of Americans said they were “not too confident” or “not at all confident” that the election would be conducted in a free and equal way.

It’s depressing that American citizens don’t trust their own election system, and I suspect the lack of confidence reflects a deeper, broader crisis. Political divisions have grown so great and cynicism about the system has become so pervasive that not only the electoral process but the very government itself has lost legitimacy in the eyes of voters. I watched a focus group a few weeks ago in which more than a dozen undecided voters unanimously told the moderator they didn’t trust the media — but then made it clear that they didn’t trust the president either, nor did they respect his opponent.

The mail I get from readers is much the same: incensed, often profane, expressions of partisanship (from one side or the other) or weary, cynical distrust of everybody concerned.

How bad has it gotten? One 2018 poll done for Axios found that 54% of Democrats think Republicans are “ignorant” and the same percentage of Republicans think Democrats are “spiteful.” Substantial numbers of Democrats and Republicans believe supporters of the opposing party are “evil.” A Pew Research Center poll found last year that nearly 60% of Americans were “not satisfied” with the way democracy was working. A Pew poll from last month found that only 20% of U.S. adults trust the government to “do the right thing” most of the time.

A substantial portion of the skepticism about American government and politics can be credited to President Donald Trump. He has spent four years bashing basic institutions like the electoral system, the Democratic Party, the FBI and the intelligence community, the free press, government scientists and career civil servants, while deriding his opponents as criminal or socialist or dangerous or demented.

But Americans’ jaundiced view of the system predates Trump and will outlast him. It’s been decades in the making, as elected officials have grown more polarized and vindictive. The shattering of traditional rules and norms that has led to bitterness and gridlock in Washington goes back decades, at least to the battle over the Supreme Court nomination of Robert Bork in 1987, to the Newt Gingrich years in the 1990s, to the tea party and to the government shutdowns that have so incensed voters.